NEW YORK, Oct 11 — The US dollar rose for a fourth straight session yesterday as investors looked to inflation data later this week that is likely to show that price pressures remain elevated in the world’s largest economy, keeping the Federal Reserve’s aggressive monetary policy on track to continue until next year.
Sterling, on the other hand, fell for a fourth straight trading day even after the Bank of England (BoE) expanded its support for financial markets.
US data due on Thursday is forecast to show that headline inflation came in at a hot 8.1 per cent year-on-year rate in September, but down from 8.3 per cent in August. Core inflation is expected to have risen to 6.5 per cent from 6.3 per cent previously.
Chicago Fed President Charles Evans yesterday said inflation is much more persistent than the US central bank initially thought. But he noted that the Fed may still be able to lower inflation without a sharp rise in unemployment and without pushing the economy into a recession.
The US dollar index was last up 0.3 per cent at 113.14, off the lows of around 110 last week and creeping back toward last month’s 20-year high of 114.78. The euro was down 0.4 per cent at US$0.9705 (RM4.51).
US data last Friday showed that unemployment unexpectedly fell and the economy added more jobs than predicted in September. That pushed up bond yields as traders increased their bets the Fed would hike interest rates by 75 basis points in November for the fourth meeting running.
“By illustrating continued strength in the labour market, Friday’s non-farm payrolls report gave the Fed carte blanche to continue raising rates,” said Karl Schamotta, chief market strategist, at Corpay in Toronto.
He added that the minutes from the Fed’s last meeting, due on Wednesday, “are likely to show policymakers remain willing to inflict serious economic pain on the US and global economies as they try to bring down inflation.”
In Britain, the Bank of England attempted to ease concerns about the end of its emergency bond-buying scheme.
UK markets went into a tailspin in late September after the government unveiled a plan to slash taxes and ramp up borrowing. The pound tumbled and the BoE was forced to intervene to prop up bond markets.
The BoE said it was prepared to buy as much as £10 billion (RM51.5 billion) of gilts yesterday, double the previous limit. It also created a new programme to help banks more easily access cash.
Sterling slipped for a fourth session running despite the BoE’s move. It was last down 0.2 per cent at US$1.1054, although it remained well above the September 26 record low of US$1.0327.
Geopolitical tensions and higher oil prices also caused renewed nervousness about growth, pushing investors back toward the dollar.
Russia pounded Kyiv and other Ukrainian cities with missiles in response to a blast that hit its only bridge to Crimea. Russia’s rouble fell to 63 per dollar for the first time since July 7.
The Australian dollar fell to a 2-1/2-year low of US$0.6275 as the greenback rose. It was last down more than 1 per cent at US$0.6300.
The Reserve Bank of Australia last week raised rates by less than expected, adding to the pressure on the currency. Higher interest rates typically attract investors toward a country’s assets.
Japan’s yen was down against the greenback after slipping toward a 24-year trough of 145.90 per dollar, a level that prompted authorities’ intervention to support it last month. The dollar last changed hands at ¥145.72, up 0.2 per cent.
Chinese markets reopened after a weeklong holiday. The offshore yuan opened at 7.10 per dollar before slipping to a session low of 7.1670. The dollar was last up 0.3 per cent at 7.1539. — Reuters
