WASHINGTON, July 9 — Wall Street ended the day flat yesterday as Treasury yields jumped following a stronger-than-expected US jobs report, which suggested the Federal Reserve may push further interest rate hikes to cool the economy and slow inflation.
Oil prices rose over 2 per cent yesterday, but still were down on the week following a steep sell-off days earlier on concerns about energy demand in a potential economic slowdown.
Strong data from the US Labour Department, which reported the United States added more jobs than expected in June, indicated a recession was not yet imminent amid persistent job growth, and gives the Fed scope to deliver another large interest rate increase later this month.
Nonfarm payrolls jumped by 372,000 jobs in June, well above economists’ expectations. The unemployment rate held steady at 3.6 per cent.
All three US stock indices ended the week largely unchanged, as investors balanced solid economic news with the prospect of more rate hikes.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended down 0.15 per cent, while the S&P 500 dropped 0.1 per cent and the Nasdaq Composite added 0.12 per cent.
“There has been a lot of doom and gloom recently, so a strong labour market read may assuage some fear of a recession and shows the resilient nature of our economy with a robust labour market in the face of hot inflation. The Fed is committed to raising rates aggressively to cool it, which will likely result in continued volatility,” said Mike Loewengart, managing director at E*TRADE from Morgan Stanley.
Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said yesterday he backed another three quarters of a percentage point interest rate increase, underlining the Fed’s determination in tackling inflation.
Oil prices enjoyed a reprieve, but still ended the week lower after a steep sell-off earlier in the week on concerns over dwindling demand.
Brent crude was up 2.3 per cent to settle at US$107.02 a barrel. US crude rose 2 per cent to settle at US$104.79 per barrel.
The dollar index was flat on the day after earlier hitting its highest level since 2002 =USD. And the euro drew close to parity with dollar last seen in mid-2002, having fallen 3 per cent against the dollar this week on economic and energy concerns emanating from Europe. The euro was last up 0.19 per cent at US$1.01805.
Looming rate hikes also helped push Treasury yields higher, as a key part of the yield curve tracked as a recession indicator inverted further. Benchmark 10-year yields were last at 3.0822 per cent, up from around 2.989 per cent before the data. Two-year yields jumped to 3.0985 per cent, from around 3.001 per cent.
The two-year, 10-year part of the Treasury yield curve inverted on Tuesday for the first time in three weeks. An inversion in this part of the curve is seen as a reliable indicator that a recession will follow in one to two years.
The MSCI world equity index, which tracks shares in 45 nations, was up 0.12 per cent. — Reuters