HONG KONG, June 20 — Oil prices tumbled today and equity traders fought to end a volatile week on a positive note after Donald Trump said he would mull over the next two weeks whether to join Israel’s attacks on Iran, providing some much-needed relief to markets.
Speculation had been swirling that Trump would throw his lot in with Israel, but yesterday he said he would decide “within the next two weeks” whether to involve the United States, giving diplomacy a shot to end the hostilities.
While tensions are sky high amid fears of an escalation, the US president’s remarks suggested the crisis could be prevented from spiralling into all-out war between the Middle East foes.
Since Israel first hit Iran last Friday, the two have exchanged deadly strikes and apocalyptic warnings, though observers said the conflict has not seen a critical escalation.
European foreign ministers were due to meet their Iranian counterpart today in Geneva.
In a statement read out by White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt, the president said: “Based on the fact that there’s a substantial chance of negotiations that may or may not take place with Iran in the near future, I will make my decision whether or not to go within the next two weeks.”
Leavitt added: “If there’s a chance for diplomacy the president’s always going to grab it, but he’s not afraid to use strength as well.”
Both main oil contracts were down around 2 per cent today but uncertainty prevailed and traders remained nervous.
“Crude still calls the shots, and volatility’s the devil in the room — and every trader on the street knows we’re two headlines away from chaos,” said Stephen Innes at SPI Asset Management.
“Make no mistake: we’re trading a geopolitical powder keg with a lit fuse.
“President Trump’s two-week ‘thinking window’ on whether to join Israel’s war against Iran is no cooling-off period — it’s a ticking volatility clock.”
Stocks were mixed following a public holiday in New York, with Hong Kong, Shanghai and Singapore all up.
Seoul’s Kospi led the gains, rising more than 1 per cent to break 3,000 points for the first time in nearly three and a half years.
The index has risen every day except one since the June 4 election of a new president, which ended months of political crisis and fuelled hopes for an economic rebound.
Tokyo fell as Japanese core inflation accelerated, stoked by a doubling in the cost of rice, a hot topic issue that poses a threat to Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba ahead of elections next month.
There were also losses in Sydney, Taipei, Manila and Jakarta.
The Middle East crisis continues to absorb most of the news but Trump’s trade war remains a major obstacle for investors as the end of a 90-day pause on his April 2 tariff blitz approaches with few governments reaching deals to avert them being imposed.
“While the worst of the tariffs have been paused, we suspect it won’t be until those deadlines approach that new agreements may be finalised,” said David Sekera, Chief US Market Strategist at Morningstar.
“Until then, as news emerges regarding the progress and substance of trade negotiations, these headlines could have an outsize positive or negative impact on markets.” — AFP
