NEW YORK, Feb 19 ― The dollar rose yesterday to its highest in nearly three years against the euro, which was pressured by a German survey showing slumping investor confidence in Europe's largest economy.

The euro was 0.38 per cent lower against the dollar at US$1.0793 (RM4.4845), its first fall below the US$1.08 level since April 2017.

Yesterday, Germany's ZEW research institute said in its monthly survey that investors' mood deteriorated far more than expected in February, on worries the coronavirus would dampen world trade.

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The survey added to expectations the German economy will lose more momentum in the first half as slumping exports keep manufacturers mired in a recession.

“The scale of the erosion in confidence potentially sets the stage from similarly poor results Friday when Germany and the euro zone issue preliminary PMI surveys,” said Joe Manimbo, senior market analyst at Western Union Business Solutions in Washington.

Some economists fear the coronavirus, which started in China and is impacting both the global supply chain and Chinese demand, could result in weaker German growth in the first quarter.

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The euro has lost around 3.7 per cent of its value against the US dollar this year, its worst year-to-date performance in five years.

Poor euro area data has boosted speculation that monetary policy will remain looser for longer than previously expected.

The US economy has proved more resilient than the rest of the world, keeping the dollar at 4-1/2 month highs against a basket of currencies. Other safe-haven assets such as the Swiss franc and Japanese yen have also benefited.

“Only when the virus issue dies down and the impact from all the stimulus around the world starts to become apparent, will we see downward pressure on the USD,” Brad Bechtel, managing director, Jefferies in New York, said in a note.

The Federal Open Market Committee is expected to issue minutes from its January 28-29 meeting today.

Speculators increased their net long dollar position in the latest week, according to calculations by Reuters and US Commodity Futures Trading Commission data released on Friday.

China's offshore-traded yuan fell 0.3 per cent to an eight-day low of 7.0109 against the dollar.

Norway's crown, closely correlated with global growth and trade, plunged to a 19-year low of 9.3378 against the US dollar, down 0.8 per cent on the day.

Against the greenback, the Australian dollar was 0.4 per cent lower, while the New Zealand dollar fell 0.78 per cent. The risk-sensitive currencies were jolted lower as a production warning from Apple highlighted the mounting economic costs of the coronavirus and spooked investors across Asia.

 

Sterling was little changed on the day at US$1.2997 after Britain's new finance minister said he would deliver the budget as planned in three weeks, while a broadly weaker euro also supported the British currency. ― Reuters