French lockdown slashes economic activity by 35pc, says stats office

A truck trailer is filled by a grain cart of 32-tonne capacity in a wheat field near Thiron-Gardais, centre of France July 26, 2019. Insee said a one-month lockdown could slash annual gross domestic product by three percentage points. — AFP pic
A truck trailer is filled by a grain cart of 32-tonne capacity in a wheat field near Thiron-Gardais, centre of France July 26, 2019. Insee said a one-month lockdown could slash annual gross domestic product by three percentage points. — AFP pic

PARIS, March 26 — Business closures and self-confinement imposed by French authorities to limit the coronavirus threat has cut economic activity by about 35 per cent overall, statistics office Insee said today, in its first attempt to gauge the financial impact of the crisis.

The lockdown in place since March 17 is widely expected to be extended into April, and the government has pledged €45 billion (RM213 billion) in loan guarantees and other relief for firms.

Insee said a one-month lockdown could slash annual gross domestic product by three percentage points, but cautioned that it lacked sufficient data to provide a firm estimate on French economic growth in the coming months.

The government has already said it expects GDP to contract one per cent this year, abandoning the 1.3 per cent growth target of just a few weeks ago, along with a huge jump in the budget deficit.

Services, heavy industry and construction are all taking big hits, Insee said, as factories are shut down and only essential businesses like supermarkets or pharmacies remain open.

A wave of French blue-chip companies have abandoned their profitability targets for the year, while employers’ associations have warned that hundreds of smaller firms and shops risk bankruptcy.

The estimated 35 per cent reduction in normal economic activity “appears in line with preliminary data available on employee situations, with one-third still working as normal, one-third working from home, and one-third unemployed,” Insee said. — AFP

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