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Goldman tumbles as bank strikes out on bond-trading revival
The Goldman Sachs logo is pictured on their post as traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange in New York August 4, 2014. u00e2u20acu201d Reuters pic

NEW YORK, April 19 — Goldman Sachs Group Inc fell the most since the day after the UK voted to leave the European Union, leading the Dow Jones Industrial Average lower after bond-trading revenue fell short of estimates and lagged behind rivals.

Shares of the company slid 4.7 per cent to US$215.59 (RM950.86) at 4pm in New York, the most since June 24.

Revenue from fixed-income trading of US$1.69 billion suffered from weaker demand in commodities and currencies, the New York-based company said yesterday in a statement, and missed analysts’ US$2.03 billion estimate.

"This is a hole, just like last year started in a hole,”  Devin Ryan, an analyst at JMP Securities LLC, said in a phone interview. "Seasonally you should have some tailwinds in the beginning of the year, so it’s not normal to start the year slow.”

The surprise results contrast with reports from Goldman Sachs’s three bigger competitors.

Bank of America Corp. said earlier yesterday that its trading revenue climbed, while JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Citigroup Inc last week reported revenue from that business exceeded estimates. 

Chief executive officer Lloyd Blankfein has said he’d like to operate his firm with less capital and that President Donald Trump’s plan to reduce regulations may help trading.

"The operating environment was mixed, with client activity challenged in certain market-making businesses,” Blankfein, who rose through the ranks of the fixed-income business, said in the statement.

Analysts on a conference call peppered Deputy Chief Financial Officer Marty Chavez with six questions about the trading slowdown. Chavez, who will take over the CFO role from Harvey Schwartz at the end of this month, attributed the decline to lower volatility in commodities and currency markets. The dollar-euro exchange rate and crude oil prices are the stablest they’ve been in about two years, he said. Chavez also cited the firm’s client mix, compared with bigger competitors who have larger lending books and more corporate customers.

Net income almost doubled to US$2.26 billion, or US$5.15 a share, from US$1.14 billion, or US$2.68, a year earlier, the company said in the statement. The average estimate of 17 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg was for adjusted earnings of US$5.34 a share.

Bank of America posted a 40 per cent surge in first-quarter profit, fueled by stronger trading revenue, as CEO Brian Moynihan expressed optimism about the US economy. Fixed-income trading revenue rose 29 per cent to US$2.93 billion, beating analysts’ US$2.6 billion average estimate. Morgan Stanley wraps up first-quarter earnings season Wednesday.

Goldman Sachs’s companywide revenue increased 27 per cent to US$8.03 billion, compared with the US$8.33 billion average estimate of analysts surveyed by Bloomberg. Expenses climbed 15 per cent to US$5.49 billion.

Total trading revenue, which also includes equities, fell 2 per cent to US$3.36 billion. Stock trading dropped 6 per cent to US$1.67 billion, roughly matching analysts’ US$1.63 billion estimate. The first quarter of 2016 was the weakest start to the year for the firm since before the financial crisis. The period usually accounts for about a third of the entire year’s trading revenue, according to Oppenheimer & Co.’s Christopher Kotowski.

Goldman’s commodities-trading unit is run by Greg Agran, while  Kayhan Mirza in London handles foreign exchange. Credit trading, also singled out for its weakness, is overseen by Justin Gmelich.

Investment-banking revenue rose 16 per cent to US$1.7 billion, helped by debt underwriting, where revenue advanced 25 per cent to US$636 million. Equity underwriting surged 70 per cent to US$311 million, while fees from advising companies on mergers and acquisitions fell 2 per cent to US$756 million. Goldman Sachs said its investment-banking backlog decreased from the fourth quarter and last year’s first quarter.

Revenue from the investing and lending segment, which houses stakes the firm has in other companies or loans made to corporations or high-net worth individuals, rose to US$1.46 billion from US$87 million in last year’s first quarter.

Investment-management revenue rose 12 per cent to US$1.5 billion on higher management and incentive fees, and transaction revenue. Assets under supervision fell 0.4 per cent from the end of the year to US$1.37 trillion.

Goldman Sachs’s share price surged 32 per cent from the US presidential election through the end of last year on optimism Trump would usher in pro-growth economic policies, and as firm alumni including former President Gary Cohn took up key positions in the administration. — Bloomberg

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