Money - International
Euro struggles to stay above US$1.14 after Lagarde comments
The European Central Bank (ECB) presents the new u00e2u201au00ac 50 note at the banks headquarters in Frankfurt, Germany Japan July 6, 2016. u00e2u20acu201d Reuters pic

LONDON, Feb 8 — The euro weakened for a second consecutive day today after European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde said there is no need for big monetary policy tightening in the euro zone.

Bond yields surged and the euro notched up its best weekly performance since March 2020 last week after the ECB opened the door to an interest rate rise later in 2022 and said a March 10 meeting would be key in deciding how quickly the central bank would wind down its long-running bond-buying scheme.

The ECB’s hawkish twist took markets by surprise and sent yields on peripheral debt, particularly Italy, higher yesterday as investors worried about the impact of faster-than-expected monetary tightening on the bonds of the most indebted countries.

But yesterday, Lagarde struck a more cautious tone, saying high inflation is unlikely to get entrenched, which pushed the single currency lower.

In early trading today, the euro was down 0.3 per cent, struggling to hold its head above the US$1.14 (RM4.78) levels.

"After all, investors are well aware that, once the ECB ‘shock’ has been absorbed, policy rates are set to climb much more in the US than in the eurozone over the coming months,” Unicredit strategists said in a daily note.

While money markets were pricing in as much as 134 bps in cumulative rate hikes from the US Federal Reserve over the remainder of 2022, analysts were expecting 50 bps in hikes from the ECB over that period.

Still, the short-term outlook has tilted in favour of the single currency, with the widely watched bond yield spread between US and German 10-year debt narrowing in late January to around 170 bps from an April high of 194 bps.

The US dollar index rose 0.3 per cent to 95.67.

Yesterday, bitcoin and the Australian dollar had posted gains as equity markets rallied in Europe, but the latter was a bit softer today as a cautious mood prevailed in Asia. The Aussie was broadly flat at US$0.7127.

Bitcoin punched through its 50-day average to top US$44,000 for the first time in nearly a month yesterday and held there in Asia for a gain of more than 17 per cent in four sessions. — Reuters

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