LONDON, Aug 5 — Scottish voters would vote for independence from the United Kingdom, according to a poll by Michael Ashcroft, the first major published survey to show a lead for independence since March 2017.

Asked how they would vote in an independence referendum, 46 per cent of the 1,019 surveyed voters said they would vote for independence and 43 per cent against. Excluding those who said they did not know or would not vote, this amounted to a lead of 52 per cent to 48 per cent for an independent Scotland.

“In the wake of [Prime Minister] Boris Johnson’s visit to Edinburgh last week I polled Scots to measure support for a second independence referendum and to gauge opinion on independence itself,” Ashcroft, a Conservative who opposed Johnson's leadership, said.

“I found a small majority in favour of a new vote — and the first lead for an independent Scotland for more than two years,” he said.

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Scots rejected independence by 55 to 45 per cent in a 2014 referendum but differences over Brexit have strained relations with the government in London.

The 52-48 vote to leave the EU in a 2016 referendum strained ties between the constituent parts of the United Kingdom: while Wales and England vote to leave, Scotland and Northern Ireland voted to stay.

The Scottish National Party (SNP), which runs the devolved government in Edinburgh, says that a second independence referendum is justified as Scotland is now being dragged out of the bloc against its will. — Reuters

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