LONDON, Nov 19 — The euro slumped today to near 16-month lows after Austria became the first country in western Europe to reimpose a full lockdown and Germany did not rule out doing the same.
The single currency has been on the back foot all week, pressured by growing expectations that interest rates will be tightened faster elsewhere, particularly in the United States.
The dollar was on track for a fourth straight week of gains against major rivals, capitalising on the euro’s woes.
European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde doubled down on her cautious position on Friday, saying the ECB should not tighten policy as it could undermine recovery.
Austria also said it will require all its citizens to be Covid-19 vaccinated by February, while Germany’s health minister cautioned lockdown restrictions could return there.
“One thing is certain, if the whole of Europe had to go under lockdown once more, and depending on how long that would last, we would need to rethink our growth scenarios,” said Stephane Ekolo, global equity strategist at brokerage Tradition.
The euro is down more than 1 per cent this week, falling by two- thirds of a per cent on the day and dipping below US$1.13 (RM4.72), close to a low of US$1.12630 hit on Wednesday.
The euro weakened across the board, also hitting more than six-year lows against the Swiss franc, last down 0.5 per cent.
The overall dollar index, which tracks the dollar against a basket of six major currencies, is on course for around a 1 per cent weekly gain.
The dollar was up 0.4 per cent on the day at 95.958, close to the 16-month high of 96.266 hit on Wednesday.
Expectations are growing that the dollar can strengthen further into next year. This week, US retail sales beat expectations after last week’s inflation surprise.
“We think a combination of Fed tapering and slowing global growth should favour the US dollar in 2022,” analysts at UBS said in an outlook report.
The Japanese yen strengthened following the announcement of Austria’s lockdown as traders sought safe havens, last up 0.3 per cent versus the dollar at ¥113.93.
The currency had earlier weakened slightly after a fresh ¥55.7 trillion (RM2 trillion) stimulus package was unveiled by Japan’s government.
Sterling shed some of its recent gains, and was down 0.5 per cent at around US$1.34330.
In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin is below US$60,000 and set for its worst week in six months — last trading around US$57,000. — Reuters
